Tom Bevan has posted the latest RCP averages on X, and they’re good news for Donald Trump.
Bevan predicts Trump will take Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – winning Nevada by a whopping 13 points – giving him 312 electoral votes and a second term in the White House.
However, if Biden won Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, where he trails Trump by 2 points or less according to RealClearPolling, he would win 270-268. Everything, as in 2016 and 2020, hinges on the results from a few key states.