In a recent poll conducted by the University of North Florida (UNF), former President Trump has emerged with a 2-point lead over President Biden nationally, signaling a tightening race between the two candidates.
The survey, published on Thursday, revealed that 47 percent of likely voters expressed support for Trump, while 45 percent indicated they would vote for Biden. Notably, 6 percent of respondents who voted for Biden in 2020 now plan to cast their ballot for Trump in 2024, while a smaller proportion intend to opt for a different candidate.
Despite Biden gaining ground in the poll, he has faced some erosion in support from voters who previously backed him. Nevertheless, the race remains competitive, with Michael Binder, the faculty director of UNF’s Public Opinion Research Lab, emphasizing the potential for a very close contest come November.
Trump’s recent legal obligations, centered around a trial in New York City, have not deterred his campaign efforts, as he plans to travel to Wisconsin and Michigan next week for campaigning. Interestingly, the poll indicates that a majority of voters (67 percent) would not be swayed in their vote if Trump were convicted of a crime.
Meanwhile, Biden made a stop in Florida to discuss abortion, marking his first visit to the state since its Supreme Court ruled a 6-week abortion ban could be placed on the November ballot.
The UNF poll aligns with other recent surveys showing fluctuations in voter preferences. While Biden has made gains in some polls, others still depict a closely contested race. Notably, a New York Times/Siena College poll and an NBC News national poll also highlight the dynamic nature of voter sentiment.
Conducted from April 8-20 among 745 likely voters, the UNF poll carries a margin of sampling error of 4.2 percentage points. As the election approaches, these findings underscore the fluidity of public opinion and the potential for shifts in the political landscape.